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The Economist 2026-10-26-3

The rise of AI finance

Compute trades through brokers on WhatsApp and Telegram because chips, locations and durations differ, and lenders can't value long-term contracts whose counterparties may not survive the term. Smaller operators already pay double-digit interest rates, CME and ICE futures still await approval, and Jump's CIO puts clearing years away. The only hedge on a rental price so far is a six-figure pilot trade on H100s, which is the market any decade-long obligation would have to lean on.

Capital Gains (The Diff) 2026-05-06-2

Bubbles Don't Pop All At Once

Hobart's AI bubble piece is the first to get the mechanism right, not just the outcome: inference floors at electricity, not zero, so the fiber collapse cannot replay. The actual risk is thesis drift. When applications cool, capital flees to picks-and-shovels infrastructure, and that infrastructure ends up funded by the same venture dollars that evaporate. Amazon grew 0.2% YoY in Q3 2001; the supposedly safe trade killed people. Oracle's counterparty-stretching debt and neocloud vendor financing suggest the 'datacenter investors are more serious this time' claim is true on average and wrong in the tail.